Slam Seeding - Is 16 Better than 32?

Slam Seeding - Is 16 Better than 32?

Starting in 2019, Grand Slams will have just 16 seeds. Top players have expressed concerns that this change will make it harder for them to advance to the latter stages of Majors and make for less competitive matches as the events progress. Are they right?

Is Slam Momentum a Thing?

Is Slam Momentum a Thing?

With two heavy outsiders into the men’s semifinals, does the outcome of the men’s draw become a foregone conclusion? Or should momentum raise our expectations for the underdogs?

The Odds Are Against Quick Comebacks

The Odds Are Against Quick Comebacks

After 6 months out of action owing to an elbow injury, Novak Djokovic is one match away from a quarterfinal at the Australian Open. Djokovic is on track to make a strong return in Melbourne. But how unusual is a fast comeback after injury? What can most top players who have delayed their 2018 return expect about the difficulty of reaching their previous form?

Forecasting the Women's 2018 Australian Open

Forecasting the Women's 2018 Australian Open

A strong pre-AO run and a bit of luck put Elina Svitolina at the top of a tight race for the Australian Open women’s title. Who are the other women with the best chances for the first Major win of 2018?

Forecasting the Men's 2018 Australian Open

Forecasting the Men's 2018 Australian Open

Roger Federer drew the toughest quarter of the 2018 Men’s Australian Open draw but is still the favourite to defend his title. Who else is a contender for the men’s title?

Best ATP Servers and Returners of 2017

Best ATP Servers and Returners of 2017

Who was the best server in 2017? Who was the best receiver? Which players were the most improved servers and receivers? This post reviews the standout performances of male players in 2017 using serve/return Elo ratings.

Sizing Up Federer's Seasons

Sizing Up Federer's Seasons

The “resurgence” of Roger Federer has been one of the biggest storylines of the 2017 season. After the end of Federer’s season at the ATP Tour Finals, how does it rank among his past seasons? and what is the best metric for judging season accomplishments?