Roland Garros Men's Watchability Ratings
The draws are out for the 2022 edition of Roland Garros. With Rafael Nadal’s drought in clay Masters titles this season, it has been one of the more surprising lead ups to the clay slam in over a decade. With the skyrocketing success of Carlos Alcaraz, signs that Novak Djokovic is returning to form, and Nadal’s fitness up in the air; the stage is set for a thrilling fight for the French Open men’s title. Which matches are more likely to deliver the most thrills in the first rounds?
Watchability ratings combine the quality and competitiveness of match to give an overall ‘watchability’ score. The technical details can be found here. The figure below shows the breakdown of the expected quality and competitiveness of the first round and probable second round matches at Roland Garros (excluding matches with still to be determined qualifiers , and the overall Watchabilty that these translate to.
The tables that follow order each round’s matches by their Watchability, helping fans to prioritize their watchlist for the coming days of the Paris slam.
First Round
| player | opponent | quality | competitiveness | watchability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune | 2178.9 | 94.1 | 2051 |
| Hugo Dellien | Dominic Thiem | 2068.3 | 97.9 | 2025 |
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | Albert Ramos-Vinolas | 2035.1 | 99.4 | 2022 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | Frances Tiafoe | 2041.1 | 99.1 | 2022 |
| Cristian Garin | Tommy Paul | 2073.2 | 97.1 | 2013 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | Daniel Evans | 2013.8 | 99.2 | 1997 |
| Lloyd Harris | Richard Gasquet | 1969.2 | 100.0 | 1969 |
| Filip Krajinovic | Reilly Opelka | 2098.7 | 91.1 | 1911 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | Brandon Nakashima | 1978.8 | 96.2 | 1905 |
| Steve Johnson | Jiri Vesely | 1968.5 | 93.5 | 1841 |
| Borna Coric | Carlos Taberner | 1989.5 | 92.3 | 1837 |
| Alexander Bublik | Arthur Rinderknech | 2001.6 | 91.6 | 1833 |
| Aljaz Bedene | Christopher O'Connell | 1965.9 | 91.6 | 1800 |
| Federico Delbonis | Adrian Mannarino | 1898.5 | 93.6 | 1778 |
| David Goffin | Jiri Lehecka | 2083.7 | 80.9 | 1687 |
| Pablo Cuevas | Jenson Brooksby | 2001.7 | 83.4 | 1670 |
| Federico Coria | Alex Molcan | 1998.3 | 83.0 | 1658 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2103.1 | 78.1 | 1644 |
| Daniel Altmaier | Jaume Antoni Munar Clar | 2065.6 | 76.7 | 1584 |
| Dusan Lajovic | Sebastian Baez | 2098.7 | 75.1 | 1576 |
| James Duckworth | Mikael Ymer | 1847.7 | 83.9 | 1550 |
| Laslo Djere | Richard Berankis | 2025.8 | 76.4 | 1548 |
| Sebastian Korda | John Millman | 2047.8 | 75.0 | 1535 |
| Oscar Otte | Roberto Carballes Baena | 1978.8 | 75.9 | 1503 |
| Emil Ruusuvuori | Ugo Humbert | 1922.0 | 77.6 | 1492 |
| Stan Wawrinka | Corentin Moutet | 1997.1 | 74.7 | 1492 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Lorenzo Musetti | 2299.5 | 64.2 | 1476 |
| Quentin Halys | John Isner | 2035.7 | 72.5 | 1475 |
| Alexei Popyrin | Fabio Fognini | 1999.5 | 73.5 | 1470 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Maxime Cressy | 1947.7 | 74.7 | 1456 |
| Henri Laaksonen | Pedro Martinez Portero | 1954.2 | 74.1 | 1448 |
| Alex De Minaur | Hugo Gaston | 2029.3 | 70.0 | 1421 |
| Benoit Paire | Ilya Ivashka | 1940.1 | 72.0 | 1397 |
| Taro Daniel | Gregoire Barrere | 1945.1 | 71.6 | 1393 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2071.4 | 66.9 | 1385 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | Marcos Giron | 2076.0 | 65.2 | 1354 |
| Pablo Andujar | Marco Cecchinato | 1882.6 | 70.7 | 1330 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | Peter Gojowczyk | 1899.1 | 68.8 | 1307 |
| Facundo Bagnis | Daniil Medvedev | 2133.8 | 59.2 | 1264 |
| Marin Cilic | Attila Balazs | 2001.5 | 62.9 | 1259 |
| Soon-Woo Kwon | Andrey Rublev | 2100.4 | 59.6 | 1251 |
| Casper Ruud | Jo-Wilfried Tsonga | 2096.8 | 59.4 | 1245 |
| Cameron Norrie | Manuel Guinard | 2008.1 | 62.0 | 1245 |
| Yoshihito Nishioka | Novak Djokovic | 2256.1 | 55.1 | 1244 |
| Jordan Thompson | Rafael Nadal | 2192.8 | 51.5 | 1128 |
| Pablo Carreno-Busta | Gilles Simon | 1956.6 | 54.0 | 1056 |
Most Probable Second Round
| player | opponent | quality | competitiveness | watchability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaume Antoni Munar Clar | Diego Sebastian Schwartzman | 2177.9 | 93.0 | 2026 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Fabio Fognini | 2123.2 | 93.9 | 1994 |
| Ilya Ivashka | Tommy Paul | 2066.8 | 95.2 | 1968 |
| Hugo Dellien | Karen Khachanov | 2110.5 | 90.1 | 1902 |
| John Isner | Taro Daniel | 2100.1 | 87.8 | 1845 |
| Christopher O'Connell | Jenson Brooksby | 2028.6 | 90.6 | 1838 |
| Marton Fucsovics | Marin Cilic | 2118.1 | 86.2 | 1825 |
| Frances Tiafoe | David Goffin | 2098.9 | 84.8 | 1780 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 1995.1 | 86.2 | 1720 |
| Denis Shapovalov | Pedro Martinez Portero | 2126.6 | 80.2 | 1705 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | Reilly Opelka | 2060.1 | 80.9 | 1666 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | Mikael Ymer | 1961.2 | 84.6 | 1658 |
| Alexander Zverev | Sebastian Baez | 2304.5 | 71.8 | 1655 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Arthur Rinderknech | 2120.6 | 76.3 | 1618 |
| Laslo Djere | Daniil Medvedev | 2223.5 | 72.2 | 1606 |
| Sebastian Korda | Richard Gasquet | 2056.3 | 76.8 | 1580 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2088.2 | 74.8 | 1562 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | Borna Coric | 2120.7 | 73.1 | 1551 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | Aslan Karatsev | 2121.7 | 72.7 | 1543 |
| Pablo Andujar | Hubert Hurkacz | 2103.1 | 73.3 | 1541 |
| Oscar Otte | Jannik Sinner | 2196.3 | 68.9 | 1514 |
| Joao Sousa | Lorenzo Sonego | 1942.9 | 77.7 | 1510 |
| Pablo Carreno-Busta | Jiri Vesely | 2112.4 | 69.9 | 1476 |
| Casper Ruud | Emil Ruusuvuori | 2149.7 | 66.0 | 1418 |
| Cameron Norrie | Denis Kudla | 2038.6 | 66.2 | 1350 |
| Stan Wawrinka | Rafael Nadal | 2326.4 | 56.4 | 1313 |
| Novak Djokovic | Alex Molcan | 2284.7 | 57.0 | 1302 |
| Michael Mmoh | Taylor Harry Fritz | 2042.6 | 62.4 | 1275 |
| Andrey Rublev | Federico Delbonis | 2108.1 | 60.4 | 1272 |
| Albert Ramos-Vinolas | Carlos Alcaraz | 2284.7 | 55.5 | 1267 |
| Lucas Pouille | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2169.1 | 53.6 | 1162 |
