Roland Garros Women's Watchability Ratings
Since Ash Barty’s retirement following her win at the Australian Open, Iga Swiatek has become the dominant force on the WTA tour. The French Open during Rafa’s reign has been a foregone conclusion in most years. But this year, it’s Swiatek who is the heaviest favorite at the event. The main question is which among her challengers can make this a more competitive event than expected? And before we know who might be fighting for the title, which womens matches are likely to be the must-sees of the first rounds?
Watchability ratings combine the quality and competitiveness of match to give an overall ‘watchability’ score. The technical details can be found here. The figure below shows the breakdown of the expected quality and competitiveness of the first round and probable second round matches at Roland Garros (excluding matches with still to be determined qualifiers , and the overall Watchabilty that these translate to.
The tables that follow order each round’s matches by their Watchability, helping fans to prioritize their watchlist for the coming days of the Paris slam.
First Round
| player | opponent | quality | competitiveness | watchability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | Amanda Anisimova | 2214.7 | 92.2 | 2043 |
| Katerina Siniakova | Petra Martic | 2084.5 | 96.8 | 2018 |
| Tamara Zidansek | Claire Liu | 1981.9 | 99.4 | 1969 |
| Maryna Zanevska | Qinwen Zheng | 1970.3 | 99.3 | 1957 |
| Danka Kovinic | Liudmila Samsonova | 1972.3 | 98.9 | 1951 |
| Dayana Yastremska | Alison Riske | 1986.3 | 95.8 | 1902 |
| Alison Van Uytvanck | Ann Li | 1955.1 | 97.1 | 1899 |
| Caroline Garcia | Taylor Townsend | 1928.0 | 97.5 | 1879 |
| Shelby Rogers | Tereza Martincova | 1897.5 | 97.7 | 1854 |
| Mayar Sherif | Marta Kostyuk | 1980.7 | 93.0 | 1843 |
| Elise Mertens | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2021.3 | 89.2 | 1803 |
| Viktorija Golubic | Katie Volynets | 1909.0 | 93.9 | 1793 |
| Garbine Muguruza | Kaia Kanepi | 2093.0 | 84.4 | 1767 |
| Heather Watson | Elsa Jacquemot | 1792.3 | 98.5 | 1766 |
| Anna Schmiedlova | Kristina Kucova | 1794.7 | 95.9 | 1722 |
| Anna Bondar | Petra Kvitova | 2070.7 | 81.6 | 1689 |
| Shuai Zhang | Camila Giorgi | 1955.0 | 85.6 | 1673 |
| Lauren Davis | Marie Bouzkova | 1922.0 | 86.5 | 1663 |
| Magdalena Frech | Angelique Kerber | 1977.3 | 83.8 | 1657 |
| Oceane Dodin | Andrea Petkovic | 1877.1 | 84.8 | 1592 |
| Jasmine Paolini | Irina-Camelia Begu | 1990.8 | 79.4 | 1580 |
| Bernarda Pera | Jil Teichmann | 2052.2 | 76.7 | 1574 |
| Jessica Pegula | Qiang Wang | 2052.4 | 75.8 | 1555 |
| Martina Trevisan | Harriet Dart | 1798.4 | 85.0 | 1528 |
| Tatjana Maria | Sorana Cirstea | 1928.7 | 77.6 | 1497 |
| Madison Keys | Anna Kalinskaya | 1974.0 | 75.7 | 1495 |
| Victoria Azarenka | Ana Bogdan | 2091.5 | 71.3 | 1491 |
| Astra Sharma | Varvara Gracheva | 1870.9 | 79.1 | 1479 |
| Alize Cornet | Misaki Doi | 1853.0 | 79.4 | 1472 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Xinyu Wang | 1922.8 | 76.4 | 1469 |
| Anett Kontaveit | Ajla Tomljanovic | 2050.8 | 69.2 | 1419 |
| Harmony Tan | Maria Camila Osorio Serrano | 1871.0 | 74.6 | 1396 |
| Rebecca Peterson | Daria Kasatkina | 2035.8 | 68.6 | 1396 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | Lucia Bronzetti | 1987.9 | 69.1 | 1373 |
| Elena Rybakina | Arantxa Rus | 1988.8 | 69.0 | 1373 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Greetje Minnen | 1996.7 | 64.5 | 1288 |
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Kristina Mladenovic | 1870.9 | 68.6 | 1284 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz | 1797.4 | 69.1 | 1243 |
| Ana Konjuh | Simona Halep | 2072.3 | 58.3 | 1209 |
| Ons Jabeur | Magda Linette | 2135.1 | 56.0 | 1196 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | Diane Parry | 2017.0 | 56.3 | 1135 |
| Maria Sakkari | Clara Burel | 2025.3 | 55.3 | 1120 |
| Fiona Ferro | Paula Badosa Gibert | 2023.3 | 55.1 | 1115 |
| Chloe Paquet | Aryna Sabalenka | 1973.9 | 55.3 | 1092 |
| Tessah Andrianjafitrimo | Karolina Pliskova | 1823.7 | 57.6 | 1051 |
| Karolina Muchova | Carole Monnet | 1830.1 | 55.8 | 1022 |
Most Probable Second Round
| player | opponent | quality | competitiveness | watchability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | Anhelina Kalinina | 2134.1 | 97.0 | 2071 |
| Marta Kostyuk | Claire Liu | 1994.6 | 97.0 | 1935 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Emma Raducanu | 1999.5 | 96.4 | 1928 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Irina-Camelia Begu | 2108.9 | 88.2 | 1859 |
| Sorana Cirstea | Sloane Stephens | 1985.1 | 92.2 | 1831 |
| Katerina Siniakova | Leylah Annie Fernandez | 2047.3 | 86.5 | 1770 |
| Marie Bouzkova | Elise Mertens | 2014.7 | 87.4 | 1761 |
| Belinda Bencic | Bianca Vanessa Andreescu | 2116.9 | 81.1 | 1717 |
| Camila Giorgi | Yulia Putintseva | 2069.7 | 82.6 | 1710 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | Garbine Muguruza | 2078.4 | 80.7 | 1677 |
| Nuria Parrizas-Diaz | Karolina Pliskova | 1981.4 | 83.7 | 1658 |
| Madison Keys | Caroline Garcia | 2001.4 | 82.2 | 1645 |
| Karolina Muchova | Maria Sakkari | 2173.7 | 73.6 | 1599 |
| Cori Gauff | Ann Li | 2057.0 | 75.8 | 1558 |
| Katie Volynets | Elena Rybakina | 2022.4 | 75.7 | 1531 |
| Daria Saville | Petra Kvitova | 2042.2 | 74.9 | 1530 |
| Alize Cornet | Jelena Ostapenko | 2021.2 | 75.7 | 1530 |
| Anett Kontaveit | Varvara Gracheva | 2062.1 | 71.3 | 1470 |
| Anna Schmiedlova | Liudmila Samsonova | 1892.5 | 77.6 | 1469 |
| Madison Brengle | Aryna Sabalenka | 2090.9 | 67.8 | 1417 |
| Paula Badosa Gibert | Kaja Juvan | 2133.0 | 66.0 | 1407 |
| Dalma Galfi | Jil Teichmann | 2016.8 | 69.5 | 1402 |
| Maria Camila Osorio Serrano | Barbora Krejcikova | 2110.0 | 66.4 | 1400 |
| Victoria Azarenka | Andrea Petkovic | 2068.3 | 67.2 | 1389 |
| Simona Halep | Maryna Zanevska | 2126.7 | 64.5 | 1372 |
| Angelique Kerber | Elsa Jacquemot | 1916.5 | 70.2 | 1346 |
| Danielle Rose Collins | Tereza Martincova | 2052.3 | 65.6 | 1346 |
| Iga Swiatek | Dayana Yastremska | 2257.4 | 55.0 | 1241 |
| Panna Udvardy | Daria Kasatkina | 1990.7 | 61.9 | 1233 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Veronika Kudermetova | 1911.5 | 62.7 | 1199 |
| Ons Jabeur | Martina Trevisan | 2113.0 | 54.7 | 1156 |
