Women's US Open Watchability Ratings
With the 2022 US Open set to be Serena Williams’s farewell event, all attention will be on the GOAT and the coda she ends her career with. If Williams does want to get into the second week, it is going to be a real challenge given the difficulty of her draw. And if the Wilson balls are flying as unusually this year as last, it could be another wild two weeks at Flushing Meadows. Here are some guesses at the matches that could be the toughest and most watchable in the first two rounds.
Watchability ratings combine the quality and competitiveness of match to give an overall ‘watchability’ score. The technical details can be found here. The figure below shows the breakdown of the expected quality and competitiveness of the first round and probable second round matches at the US Open, and the overall Watchabilty that these translate to.
The tables that follow order each round’s matches by their Watchability, helping fans to prioritize their watchlist for the coming days.
First Round
| player | opponent | quality | competitiveness | watchability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | Ajla Tomljanovic | 2049.6 | 96.5 | 1978 |
| Paula Badosa Gibert | Lesya Tsurenko | 2052.9 | 94.9 | 1949 |
| Taylor Townsend | Katerina Siniakova | 1945.5 | 97.2 | 1890 |
| Mayar Sherif | Marta Kostyuk | 1948.2 | 95.8 | 1867 |
| Emma Raducanu | Alize Cornet | 1991.9 | 93.7 | 1866 |
| Laura Siegemund | Sorana Cirstea | 1924.4 | 96.3 | 1853 |
| Xinyu Wang | Diane Parry | 1866.9 | 99.0 | 1848 |
| Elise Mertens | Irina-Camelia Begu | 1949.1 | 94.1 | 1834 |
| Magdalena Frech | Rebecca Marino | 1881.5 | 97.5 | 1834 |
| Sofia Kenin | Jule Niemeier | 1923.2 | 94.8 | 1822 |
| Tereza Martincova | Kaia Kanepi | 1913.4 | 95.1 | 1820 |
| Marie Bouzkova | Linda Noskova | 2046.2 | 88.4 | 1808 |
| Dalma Galfi | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz | 1829.3 | 98.0 | 1792 |
| Aleksandra Krunic | Elina Avanesyan | 1870.3 | 94.6 | 1770 |
| Lauren Davis | Lucia Bronzetti | 1857.4 | 95.2 | 1768 |
| Bernarda Pera | Anhelina Kalinina | 1916.0 | 91.5 | 1754 |
| Daria Saville | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 1870.6 | 91.1 | 1703 |
| Garbine Muguruza | Clara Tauson | 2024.8 | 83.6 | 1692 |
| Karolina Pliskova | Magda Linette | 2018.9 | 83.8 | 1692 |
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | Viktoria Kuzmova | 1901.0 | 87.4 | 1661 |
| Maria Sakkari | Tatjana Maria | 1967.2 | 83.6 | 1645 |
| Cristina Bucsa | Kaja Juvan | 1951.7 | 81.7 | 1595 |
| Viktorija Golubic | Jessica Pegula | 1995.2 | 79.7 | 1590 |
| Maryna Zanevska | Coco Vandeweghe | 1828.6 | 86.2 | 1577 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | Fernanda Contreras Gomez | 1858.5 | 84.7 | 1575 |
| Maria Camila Osorio Serrano | Ann Li | 1865.3 | 84.2 | 1571 |
| Yulia Putintseva | Amanda Anisimova | 1997.3 | 78.4 | 1566 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | Cori Gauff | 2044.5 | 75.2 | 1538 |
| Danielle Rose Collins | Naomi Osaka | 2147.9 | 71.6 | 1538 |
| Sloane Stephens | Greetje Minnen | 1860.8 | 82.3 | 1531 |
| Alison Van Uytvanck | Venus Williams | 1876.8 | 80.1 | 1502 |
| Harmony Tan | Bianca Vanessa Andreescu | 1920.5 | 77.5 | 1488 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | Qinwen Zheng | 2014.2 | 73.0 | 1470 |
| Shelby Rogers | Arantxa Rus | 1892.3 | 75.1 | 1422 |
| Tamara Zidansek | Elizabeth Mandlik | 1828.7 | 77.6 | 1419 |
| Caroline Garcia | Kamilla Rakhimova | 2088.6 | 67.8 | 1417 |
| Victoria Azarenka | Ashlyn Krueger | 2068.7 | 68.1 | 1408 |
| Erika Andreeva | Petra Kvitova | 2042.8 | 68.8 | 1405 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | Ana Konjuh | 1964.1 | 71.4 | 1402 |
| Jaimee Fourlis | Yue Yuan | 1722.7 | 81.3 | 1401 |
| Jil Teichmann | Shuai Zhang | 1975.4 | 70.0 | 1382 |
| Varvara Gracheva | Petra Martic | 1855.7 | 73.4 | 1362 |
| Anna Schmiedlova | Nadia Podoroska | 1790.7 | 75.6 | 1353 |
| Danka Kovinic | Serena Williams | 2010.7 | 66.8 | 1343 |
| Donna Vekic | Veronika Kudermetova | 2043.6 | 64.5 | 1318 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | Sara Bejlek | 2066.4 | 63.8 | 1317 |
| Belinda Bencic | Andrea Petkovic | 1995.6 | 65.1 | 1299 |
| Anna Bondar | Camila Giorgi | 1854.2 | 69.2 | 1282 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 2040.8 | 61.1 | 1248 |
| Claire Liu | Anastasia Potapova | 1965.8 | 63.4 | 1246 |
| Ons Jabeur | Madison Brengle | 2026.4 | 60.8 | 1232 |
| Daria Snigur | Simona Halep | 2086.9 | 57.9 | 1208 |
| Madison Keys | Dayana Yastremska | 2037.1 | 58.8 | 1198 |
| Rebecca Peterson | Anna Kalinskaya | 1980.6 | 60.0 | 1189 |
| Oceane Dodin | Leylah Annie Fernandez | 1948.7 | 59.6 | 1161 |
| Jasmine Paolini | Iga Swiatek | 2031.4 | 56.9 | 1156 |
| Elena Rybakina | Clara Burel | 1961.7 | 58.6 | 1150 |
| Catherine Harrison | Aryna Sabalenka | 1979.3 | 56.9 | 1127 |
| Harriet Dart | Daria Kasatkina | 2102.7 | 53.3 | 1120 |
| Anett Kontaveit | Jaqueline Cristian | 1854.8 | 59.6 | 1105 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Peyton Stearns | 1959.2 | 56.3 | 1103 |
| Martina Trevisan | E. Rodina E. Rodina | 1646.5 | 65.6 | 1081 |
| X. Wang X. Wang | Linda Fruhvirtova | 1681.9 | 61.0 | 1025 |
| Eleana Yu | Alison Riske | 1745.5 | 55.0 | 960 |
Most Probable Second Round
| player | opponent | quality | competitiveness | watchability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | Jelena Ostapenko | 2123.7 | 98.7 | 2097 |
| Karolina Pliskova | Marie Bouzkova | 2082.3 | 98.5 | 2052 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | Caroline Garcia | 2196.2 | 92.9 | 2039 |
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Liudmila Samsonova | 2184.8 | 88.4 | 1931 |
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | Shelby Rogers | 1966.5 | 94.1 | 1850 |
| Elina Avanesyan | Barbora Krejcikova | 1901.2 | 96.5 | 1835 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | Bianca Vanessa Andreescu | 2041.1 | 89.8 | 1832 |
| Alize Cornet | Taylor Townsend | 1984.7 | 91.6 | 1819 |
| Serena Williams | Anett Kontaveit | 2099.6 | 86.0 | 1806 |
| Alison Riske | Maria Camila Osorio Serrano | 1961.5 | 88.9 | 1743 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jessica Pegula | 2145.6 | 79.5 | 1706 |
| Paula Badosa Gibert | Petra Martic | 2014.6 | 84.4 | 1701 |
| Amanda Anisimova | Sofia Kenin | 2009.5 | 81.4 | 1635 |
| Xinyu Wang | Maria Sakkari | 1948.4 | 79.0 | 1539 |
| Cristina Bucsa | Naomi Osaka | 2139.1 | 69.9 | 1496 |
| Laura Siegemund | Belinda Bencic | 2041.4 | 73.2 | 1494 |
| Elena Rybakina | Alison Van Uytvanck | 2058.5 | 72.3 | 1488 |
| Bernarda Pera | Petra Kvitova | 2057.8 | 71.6 | 1473 |
| Marta Kostyuk | Victoria Azarenka | 2081.4 | 70.3 | 1464 |
| Nadia Podoroska | Shuai Zhang | 1989.8 | 72.7 | 1447 |
| Madison Keys | Camila Giorgi | 2109.7 | 68.2 | 1439 |
| Elise Mertens | Yue Yuan | 1880.3 | 76.3 | 1435 |
| Daria Saville | Cori Gauff | 2020.4 | 70.4 | 1422 |
| Clara Tauson | Linda Fruhvirtova | 1974.0 | 72.0 | 1421 |
| Tereza Martincova | Aryna Sabalenka | 2067.7 | 67.1 | 1387 |
| Ons Jabeur | Elizabeth Mandlik | 2061.2 | 65.3 | 1346 |
| Iga Swiatek | Sloane Stephens | 2091.3 | 62.9 | 1314 |
| Martina Trevisan | Ajla Tomljanovic | 1927.3 | 67.5 | 1302 |
| Veronika Kudermetova | Coco Vandeweghe | 2037.7 | 63.7 | 1298 |
| Lauren Davis | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2033.9 | 63.7 | 1296 |
| Simona Halep | Magdalena Frech | 2095.3 | 58.6 | 1228 |
| Dalma Galfi | Daria Kasatkina | 2116.8 | 53.8 | 1139 |
