What Do I Watch Now (Part 2)?

Yesterday, I described one strategy for using round, game margin, and total games to automatically rank interesting matches. After using this approach to rank the Top 30 men’s matches, in this post I do the same for the women for all Grand Slam matches from 1997 to the present.

To recap, the ‘interesting’ stat is intended to provide a way to rank the epicness, competitiveness and quality of matches in a way that can be applied for as much of tennis history that we can get box scores for.

The actual numbers we use to do this are the total games, game margin, and round, where round is given a weighted numeric category that puts the highest weight on finals and the lowest weight on the first qualifying round.

When applying this to women’s matches, we would expect a less skewed distribution in the length of matches, owing to the best of 3 format at majors. At the same time, we would expect a higher density of matches that are both long and competitive (low game margin). The chart of the standardized match stats for Grand Slam matches from 1997 to the present shows that this is generally the case. Nearly all of the Top 30 matches are 1 SD above average for total games and game margin.

Distribution of centered and scaled components of the match 'interest' stat for women's Grand Slam matches (qualifying and main draw) from 1997-2020.

Below is the list of the 30 matches in this period with the highest interest score, with a lot of recent matches making the cut. Sadly there were fewer full-length matches that I could track down with a quick Web search. So there are a lot here that are just extended highlights. Two matches I could only find a few minutes of highlights. Both were at the US Open: the Clijsters-Venus Williams SF in 2010 and Roberta Vinci’s upset of Serena Williams in the semifinal of 2015. Don’t know if the US Open has cracked down on these more but suspect I just haven’t searched hard enough.

A first round match at the 2001 Australian Open between Greta Arn and Jana Nejedly also made the list, the two going to 44 total games, the third longest match (in terms of games played) in the list. Was really curious what happened here but couldn’t even find a mention on youtube. If anyone can track down some footage of this one, I would greatly appreciate a tip on where to see it.

We definitely need more high-quality match footage of women’s matches out there. But there are still many hours of play in what is linked below that I hope gives you some positive distraction during this difficult period.

Date Event Round Player Opponent Result Total Games Played Game Margin Video Link
2019-01-14 Australian Open - Melbourne F Naomi Osaka Petra Kvitova 7-6(2) 5-7 6-4 35 1 Link
2003-01-13 Australian Open - Melbourne F Serena Williams Venus Williams 7-6(4) 3-6 6-4 32 0 Link
2018-01-15 Australian Open - Melbourne F Caroline Wozniacki Simona Halep 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 32 0 Link
2011-01-17 Australian Open - Melbourne R16 Francesca Schiavone Svetlana Kuznetsova 6-4 1-6 16-14 47 1 Link
1997-08-25 U.S. Open - New York SF Venus Williams Irina Spirlea 7-6(5) 4-6 7-6(7) 36 0 Link
2005-01-17 Australian Open - Melbourne SF Serena Williams Maria Sharapova 2-6 7-5 8-6 34 0 Link
2003-08-25 U.S. Open - New York SF Justine Henin Jennifer Capriati 4-6 7-5 7-6(4) 35 1 Link
2018-01-15 Australian Open - Melbourne R32 Simona Halep Lauren Davis 4-6 6-4 15-13 48 2 Link
2016-01-18 Australian Open - Melbourne F Angelique Kerber Serena Williams 6-4 3-6 6-4 29 1 Link
2010-08-30 U.S. Open - New York SF Kim Clijsters Venus Williams 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4 33 1 ?
2002-01-14 Australian Open - Melbourne F Jennifer Capriati Martina Hingis 4-6 7-6(7) 6-2 31 3 Link
1999-01-18 Australian Open - Melbourne SF Amelie Mauresmo Lindsay Davenport 4-6 7-5 7-5 34 2 Link
2012-08-27 U.S. Open - New York F Serena Williams Victoria Azarenka 6-2 2-6 7-5 28 2 Link
2005-01-17 Australian Open - Melbourne SF Lindsay Davenport Nathalie Dechy 2-6 7-6(5) 6-4 31 1 Link
2005-01-17 Australian Open - Melbourne QF Lindsay Davenport Alicia Molik 6-4 4-6 9-7 36 2 Link
2018-01-15 Australian Open - Melbourne SF Simona Halep Angelique Kerber 6-3 4-6 9-7 35 3 Link
2015-08-31 U.S. Open - New York SF Roberta Vinci Serena Williams 2-6 6-4 6-4 28 0 ?
2004-08-30 U.S. Open - New York QF Elena Dementieva Amelie Mauresmo 4-6 6-4 7-6(1) 33 1 Link
2010-01-18 Australian Open - Melbourne QF Na Li Venus Williams 2-6 7-6(4) 7-5 33 1 Link
2013-01-14 Australian Open - Melbourne F Victoria Azarenka Na Li 4-6 6-4 6-3 29 3 Link
2016-08-29 U.S. Open - New York F Angelique Kerber Karolina Pliskova 6-3 4-6 6-4 29 3 Link
2001-01-15 Australian Open - Melbourne R128 Greta Arn Jana Nejedly 3-6 7-6(4) 12-10 44 0 ?
2003-01-13 Australian Open - Melbourne R16 Justine Henin Lindsay Davenport 7-5 5-7 9-7 40 2 Link
2012-01-16 Australian Open - Melbourne SF Victoria Azarenka Kim Clijsters 6-4 1-6 6-3 26 0 Link
2013-01-14 Australian Open - Melbourne QF Sloane Stephens Serena Williams 3-6 7-5 6-4 31 1 Link
2017-08-28 U.S. Open - New York QF Sloane Stephens Anastasija Sevastova 6-3 3-6 7-6(4) 31 1 Link
2017-08-28 U.S. Open - New York QF Venus Williams Petra Kvitova 6-3 3-6 7-6(2) 31 1 Link
2010-01-18 Australian Open - Melbourne F Serena Williams Justine Henin 6-4 3-6 6-2 27 3 Link
2011-01-17 Australian Open - Melbourne F Kim Clijsters Na Li 3-6 6-3 6-3 27 3 Link
2011-01-17 Australian Open - Melbourne SF Na Li Caroline Wozniacki 3-6 7-5 6-3 30 2 Link